Earth System Analysis

As humanity approaches the 3rd millennium, the sustainability of our present way of life becomes more and more questionable. New paradigms for the long-term coevolution of nature and civilization are urgently needed in order to avoid intolerable and irreversible modifications of our planetary environment. Earth System Analysis is a new scientific enterprise that tries to perceive the earth as a whole, a unique system which is to be analyzed with methods ranging from nonlinear dynamics to macroeconomic modelling. This book, resulting from an international symposium organized by the Potsdam Institute, has 2 aims: first, to integrate contributions from leading researchers and scholars from around the world to provide a multifaceted perspective of what Earth System Analysis is all about, and second, to outline the scope of the scientific challenge and elaborate the general formalism for a well-defined transdisciplinary discourse on this most fascinating issue.

Integrated representation of natural and social sciences Reports open discussions on the impact of environmental management

Autorentext
Prof. Dr. Hans J. Schellnhuber: Born in 1950 in Ortenburg (Germany). Training in physics and mathematics with a at the University of Regensburg. Doctorate in Theoretical Physics in 1980. Various periods of research abroad, in particular at several institutions of the University of California system (USA). Habilitation (German qualification for professorial status) in 1985, then Heisenberg Fellowship. 1991 Founding Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). 2001-2005 additional engagement as Research Director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and Professor at the Environmental Sciences School of the University of East Anglia in Norwich (UK).2002 Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Award; 2004 CBE (Commander of the Order of the British Empire) awarded by Queen Elizabeth II. Elected Member of the Max Planck Society, the US National Academy of Sciences, the Leibniz-Sozietät, the Geological Society of London, and the International Research Society Sigma Xi. Ambassador for the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP). Active service on some dozen national and international panels for scientific strategies and policy advice on environment & development matters. Chief Government Advisor on climate and related issues for the German G8-EU twin presidency in 2007.

Inhalt
1. Earth System Analysis The Concept.- Discourse: Earth System Analysis The Scope of the Challenge.- Commentary: Earth System Analysis Explorations in a Research Frontier.- Commentary: Surprises in the Climate Change Course.- Commentary: Sustainable Development Teleology and Ambiguity.- 2. Natural Dimensions.- 1: Ecology and the Earth System.- Commentary on Ecology and the Earth System.- Commentary: Eco-System Modelling and the Social Sciences.- 2: Climate Change and Land Use: Global and Regional Analyses.- Commentary: On the Inconsistency at the Interface of Climate Impact Studies and Global Climate Simulations.- 3: Sustainable Development in Agricultural Landscapes.- Commentary on Sustainable Development in Agricultural Landscapes.- Commentary: Towards a Socially Accepted, Sustainable Management of Agricultural Landscapes.- 3. Human Dimensions.- 1: Modelling Global Environmental Change: Improving Human Dimensions Components.- 2: Internationally Tradeable Emission Certificates Efficiency and Equity in Linking Environmental Protection with Economic Development.- Commentary: Criteria for an Equitable Distribution of Internationally Tradeable Emission Certificates.- 3: New Models of Wealth.- Commentary on New Models of Wealth.- Commentary on New Models of Wealth.- 4: Urban Metabolism and Disaster Vulnerability in an Era.- 4. Integration for Sustainability.- 1: Multi-actor Optimization of Greenhouse Gas Emission Paths Using Coupled Integral Climate Response and Economic Models.- Commentary: Short Remarks on the Problem of Integrated Modelling.- Commentary: Global Environment and Society (GES) Models, a Problem of Multiple Control Theory.- 2: Global Change and Sustainable Development: Towards an Integrated Conceptual Model.-Commentary on Global Change and Sustainable Development.- Commentary on Global Change and Sustainable Development.- 3: From a Fictional Globe to Poetic Ecosystems: Modelling Human Interactions with the Environment.- Commentary on Modelling Human Interactions with the Environment.- Commentary on Modelling Human Interactions with the Environment.- 4: Is Global Modelling Feasible?.- Commentary on Is Global Modelling Feasible?.- Commentary on Is Global Modelling Feasible?.- Register of Persons.

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